In this article, we state what Murphy’s law is and we also provide you with further explanations about the law. Read On!
On the day of the most important interview of your life, you find that every good tie is still in the laundry, it rains like never and never comes back, taxis tease you as they run and when you arrive at the office two hours late, not only you arrived at the wrong building, but not wearing pants either.
The worst possible outcome is achieved, or as Captain Edward Murphy once remarked, “If this guy has some kind of mistake, he will.” The proverb was once called Murphy’s Law.
The Law of Big Numbers
For the five events, the probability of their simultaneous occurrence is 1 / 10,000,000,000. To say the odds are bleak would be an understatement, as it would only occur once in 10 billion interviews!
However, the event would take place 10 billion times in 100 billion interviews. When we exponentially increase sample size or assays, the likelihood of an extremely rare event also increases, so it is no longer rare.
Now generalization seems ridiculous because events are not distributed so evenly, but the implication remains the same. In the grand scheme of things, faltering occurrences converge on a single average.
This was first suggested by Augustus De Morgan in 1866, so perhaps the law should have been named after De Morgan, rather than Murphy.
While the law incites pessimism, one should not abandon optimism. Convergence is equally true for unfortunate and fortunate events, which has led us to coin Yhpurm’s law: Anything that can work out will work out.
It’s all about perspective.
Psychologists, of course, find anthropomorphizing objects to be ridiculous. For them, it highlights our biases, particularly the confirmation bias, which is the bias of seeking evidence that only confirms our beliefs and neglects evidence that contradicts it.
Complicating our negativity bias: We tend to perceive and recall negative events more accurately than we remember positive ones.
Luck plays a crucial role in everything we do, but we seem to realize its meaning only when it doesn’t favour us, like my brother blocking the television only when Steph Curry decides to try a three-second hand at the last second.
If premonitions or pessimism did any good, it made us overly prudent. It would be foolish to develop, say, a nuclear reactor without thorough investigation and to ensure that all possible ways for the reactor to turn into a time bomb are avoided before construction begins.
Some believe that achieving absolute security is impossible; They believe the errors are destined to infiltrate, but we can respond by quoting Weiler’s Law: Nothing is impossible for the man who doesn’t have to do it alone.